Indian Stock Market Crashes
Every fall of 20% or more in Indian equity, how deep it went, how long it took to reach the bottom and how long to regain the previous high, with the events recorded around each. Two measures: the World Bank's monthly equity index from 1990, and the daily Nifty 50 index-fund NAV from 2006.
Bear markets since 1990 (monthly data)
| Peak | Bottom | Fall | Months down | Back to peak | Months to recover | Events in the fall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2020 | Apr 2020 | −25.1% | 3 | Nov 2020 | 7 | COVID-19 declared a pandemic; National lockdown announced; RBI emergency rate cut |
| Oct 2010 | Dec 2011 | −21.2% | 14 | Oct 2013 | 22 | US credit rating downgrade |
| Dec 2007 | Mar 2009 | −54.8% | 15 | Oct 2010 | 19 | January 2008 sell-off; Lehman Brothers bankruptcy; RBI cuts repo rate (GFC) |
| Feb 2000 | Sep 2001 | −48.4% | 19 | Jan 2004 | 28 | Dot-com peak |
| Sep 1994 | Oct 1998 | −36.5% | 49 | Jul 1999 | 9 | Asian financial crisis begins; Pokhran-II tests |
| Apr 1992 | Jul 1993 | −47.0% | 15 | Jun 1994 | 11 | Securities scam reported |
| Oct 1990 | Jan 1991 | −26.4% | 3 | Jul 1991 | 6 | — |
World Bank Global Economic Monitor, India equity price index (DSTKMKTXN), monthly averages, price only. Monthly averages smooth the daily extremes, so falls look a little shallower than daily index lows.
Corrections and bear markets since 2006 (daily Nifty 50)
| Peak | Bottom | Fall | Months down | Back to peak | Months to recover | Events in the fall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2026 | Mar 2026 | −15.1% | 3 | not yet | — | — |
| Sep 2024 | Mar 2025 | −15.5% | 5 | Oct 2025 | 8 | — |
| Oct 2021 | Jun 2022 | −16.6% | 8 | Nov 2022 | 5 | Russia–Ukraine war begins; RBI off-cycle rate hike |
| Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | −38.4% | 2 | Nov 2020 | 8 | COVID-19 declared a pandemic |
| Jun 2019 | Sep 2019 | −10.9% | 4 | Nov 2019 | 2 | — |
| Aug 2018 | Oct 2018 | −14.4% | 2 | Apr 2019 | 5 | NBFC sell-off |
| Sep 2016 | Dec 2016 | −11.5% | 4 | Mar 2017 | 2 | Demonetisation |
| Mar 2015 | Feb 2016 | −21.8% | 12 | Sep 2016 | 6 | Yuan devaluation |
| Jan 2008 | Oct 2008 | −59.7% | 10 | Dec 2013 | 61 | January 2008 sell-off; Lehman Brothers bankruptcy; RBI cuts repo rate (GFC) |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | −11.7% | 1 | Sep 2007 | 1 | — |
| Feb 2007 | Mar 2007 | −15.1% | 1 | May 2007 | 2 | — |
| May 2006 | Jun 2006 | −29.8% | 1 | Oct 2006 | 5 | — |
AMFI NAV history (daily NAV file; earlier history via mfapi.in, which republishes AMFI NAVs), stored and cleaned by MFIC. Proxy: UTI Nifty 50 Index Fund (Regular, growth) (total return after fund costs (proxy)). Data 3 Apr 2006 to 1 Oct 2026. Includes dividends, after fund costs.
Questions
- How long does the Indian market take to recover from a crash?
- It has varied widely. In the daily Nifty 50 data since 2006, the recoveries to the previous high after falls of 20% or more took between 5 and 61 months after the bottom. Past recoveries do not guarantee future ones.
- What was the worst crash in Indian equity?
- In the World Bank monthly index since 1990, the deepest fall was −54.8% from Dec 2007 to Mar 2009, regaining the previous high in Oct 2010. Daily index lows were deeper than these monthly averages.
- What is the difference between a correction and a bear market?
- By common convention a correction is a fall of 10% to 20% from a previous high, and a bear market a fall of 20% or more. Both are measured from the highest level reached before the fall.
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